| | TLDR: You need to start DCAing ~$750-$1.5k per week to get to 1 BTC in 5 years Or about $2.4k - $3.6k per week to get to 1 BTC in 1 year. Methodology: To get to this answer over multiple time frames in the future ranging from 1-5 years, I first ran a monte carlo simulation to generate 5000 future price paths for BTC. This is the core engine of our simulation. I then took the average returns of the bottom 50%, all the price paths and the top 10% price paths. This gives us a low, average and high expectation. I think concluding you need to DCA : - $1.5k per week for 2-3 years - $2.5k+ per week for 1 year Would be fair. I recommend to look at the numbers in all 3 columns though. The main thing that I learnt from this would be that we are getting priced out of Bitcoin very fast. [link] [comments] |
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